Fed projects one 2026 rate hike as Warsh skips dot plot submission

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Fed projects one 2026 rate hike as Warsh skips dot plot submission Fed projects one 2026 rate hike as Warsh skips dot plot submission
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On Wednesday, Warsh refused to be drawn on whether he had spoken with Trump since his swearing-in weeks ago. “On the President, I don’t have anything for you,” he said, although he confirmed that the longstanding tradition of weekly meetings between the Fed chair and Treasury secretary – currently Scott Bessent – has continued.

There are still plenty of twists and turns ahead between now and the end of the year for the Fed, particularly if expectations harden around a potential interest rate hike.

That would likely put further pressure on affordability at a time when the housing market is already grappling with elevated borrowing costs. Ghobadian, though, isn’t looking far past the outcome of the US-Iran talks – and says an agreement could be a decisive moment for the rate outlook.

“I think the biggest surprise with rates is going to be once a treaty is signed between Iran and the US,” she said.

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